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PoliticsEnds Oct 28, 2026

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
49%
Yes
51%
No
24h vol
$820k
Liquidity
$2.7M
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×1.86

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With $ 10.00 on Yes → payout $ 18.56 (profit $ 8.56)

No×1.75

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With $ 10.00 on No → payout $ 17.48 (profit $ 7.48)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralised oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

How it works

Pick Yes or No and choose your stake. If the market resolves in your favour, your payout is calculated at the confirmed odds.

Place bet

Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 1.86
$ 0.00

Visible odds · Market rules · Single balance